Packet Optical Integration: Platform and Standard

<body> Slide 1 Packet Optical Integration:Platform and Standards Evolution July 1, 2008 Glen Hunt, Principal Analyst, Carrier Infrastructure Jason Marcheck, Principal Analyst, Optical Infrastructure Slide 2 Meet the Cast Glen Hunt Jason Marcheck –Principal Analyst, Optical Infrastructure Jason brings more than 10 years experience… …optical, you bet! jmarcheck@currentanalysis.com Glen Hunt –Principal Analyst, Carrier Infrastructure Glen brings more than 20 years of telecom experience… …twice as much as the other guy! ghunt@currentanalysis.com Slide 3 Introduction Current Analysis in Packet Optical Transport .Optical Infrastructure –Metro/Long-Haul DWDM Product Coverage –Multi-Service Access/Edge Product Coverage –Ongoing Coverage of Important Packet Optical Developments »See your invitation for a free Packet Optical Advisory .Carrier Infrastructure –Carrier Core Switch/Routing Products –Carrier Ethernet Access & Aggregation Router Products –Ongoing Coverage of Important Carrier Ethernet Developments Slide 4 Agenda Recent Trends in Carrier Ethernet .Why are we here? Optical Infrastructure Aspect .Packet Optical Definition –Operator requirements –from a feature set point of view .Approaches to Packet Optical Transport –Single box vs. multiple network elements .Recent trends in Packet Optical Transport –2008 market developments (incl. NXTCOMM 2008) Carrier Infrastructure Aspects .The pros and cons of IP and Optical Integration .The need for end-to-end management .Conclusions Slide 5 Expected Capacity just from the mobile network by 2010 …. How real are the projected base station bandwidth projections? Vendor solutions can deliver line rate GigE and 10 GigE in platform capable of reaching 1 Tbps of switching capacity on high availability platforms Surveyed Mbps Base Station Capacity EIR CIR Trends: WIMAX, HSPA, LTE, Video, On-line, Games, Broadband access, All-IP Source: The Synergy Research Group and the Metro Ethernet Forum Slide 6 What about class of service …. How many different classes of service and types of services need to be supported at the base station ? Source: The Synergy Research Group and the Metro Ethernet Forum Slide 7 What about variations in service availability levels …. How many different levels of service will providers want to offer and what level of availability is expected? Source: The Synergy Research Group and the Metro Ethernet Forum Slide 8 What is “Packet Optical”? First Things First, General Optical Transport Trends .Mix of TDM and Ethernet –Typical mapped over SONET –Ethernet transport via WDM wavelengths –Network layer control becoming important »IP/MPLS, MPLS-TP, PBB-TE (PBT) Packet Optical Definition .Reconfigurable WDM transport (multi-degree ROADM) .Integrated SONET/SDH support .Connection-oriented Layer 2 switching and aggregation .Carrier-class OAM capabilities General Agreement on Requirements, But… Slide 9 Form vs. Function: My Karma Ran Over My Dogma Jury Still Out on Where Capabilities are Housed .Trend in analyst community to define as a single network element –ALU1850 TSS, Fujitsu FLASHWAVE 9500, Tellabs 7100 OTS, etc. .“Optimized” Transport and Routing network elements in play too –Cisco 15454+CRS-1, Ericsson MHL 3000 Metro + OMS 1400/2400 Slide 10 Who’s Right? At this Point: Everybody & Nobody .Uncertainty remains a constant –IP traffic growth models –Network migration time lines Operators providing minimal guidance at this point .Extent of need for individual features still unclear –Multi-degree ROADM vs. Fixed OADMs »Predications for ROADM all over the map .Rumors of SONET/SDH’s decline have been greatly exaggerated –15 year wind down… for the past 10 years at least –MSPP sales still robust .Causing vendors to cover their… bases Slide 11 Vendor Positioning: Clear as Mud? Single NE Approach: .Alcatel-Lucent has 1850 TSS, but… –Combo of 1695/1696 and 7450 ESS/7750SR could qualify .Tellabs talks up 7100 OTS, but… –Combo of 7100 OTS and 8800 MSR .Ciena positions CN 4200 RS as Packet Optical, but… –Also CN 5060 for packet switching and aggregation Optimized NE Approach: .Cisco clearly markets DWDM + Routing solution, but… –By strict definitions, ONS 15454 MSTP could qualify as single NE solution Slide 12 2008 Market Trends Vendors Race to Address Concept .Who’s who list of optical vendors aggressively marketing solutions –Large vendors, small vendors, red vendors, blue vendors .A few notable exceptions –Expect increased messaging soon Key Takeaway: .Packet optical is too big for anyone in the optical and/or data space to ignore any longer –Well articulated TDM-to-Packet migration strategy is now table stakes Slide 13 Latest and Greatest – NXTCOMM 2008 Fujitsu’s Support of PBB-TE in FLASHWAVE 9500 .Importance of OAM standards development Verizon’s Selection of the FLASHWAVE 9500 .High profile interest in single NE solution .Unclear at this point how VZ intends to use it –i.e. mix of TDM/packet (initially & going forward) Packet Optimization for Metro Access/Edge –Fujitsu announces CDS –ECI adds access optimized features to 1NET framework MRV Joins the Fray .Adds full boat of packet optical capabilities to OPN 1600 Slide 14 Where the Rubber Meets the Road Call the Plumber, the Lines are Clogged !!! .As complex as optical is, its still seen as the plumbing .Bigger, longer, faster still the name of the game in optical –40G/100G developments –Emergence of multi-haul DWDM Controlling the Packets is where the Rubber Meets the Road .Transport groups understand TDM-based optical –Network control, troubleshooting, restoration, etc. .Getting packets to fall in line can be another can of worms Slide 15 IP to Optical Integration …. Why is it critical Basic Reference Model –IP and Optical Domains Optical Transport What is needed -simpler, better, faster and cost effective transport options. The following critical requirements become table stakes: .Transport layers should be independent from the traffic being carried –packet based over xxxxx .Simple but effective OAM –not only within each domain –but some level of end-to-end visibility .Simple quality of service options –we don’t need n X m –but most likely 4 will do .Simple transport layer recovery –with more real-time traffic, predictable recovery is necessary Non Real-Time Traffic Real-Time Traffic Carrier Ethernet Slide 16 Operations and Maintenance OAM …. OAM Standards and Applicability Link Level OAM -IEEE 802.1 ah End-to-End Service Level OAM -CFM IEEE 802.1 ag, ITU-T Y.1731 Real-Time Traffic Carrier Ethernet Non Real-Time Traffic Optical Transport Source: The Synergy Research Group and the Metro Ethernet Forum Slide 17 Service Resiliency and Fault Recovery Times …. Required EVC Recovery Times 80% 20% Less than 50 ms 50 –100 ms 100 –200 ms > 200 ms Non Real-Time Traffic Optical Transport Non Real-Time Traffic Real-Time Traffic Carrier Ethernet Watch for Emerging IPoDWDM Source: The Synergy Research Group and the Metro Ethernet Forum Watch More Visibility between CET and Optical Transport Slide 18 Conclusions – Hype vs. Reality Packet Optical Hype: Hotter than Pavement in the Summertime .Nearly every optical vendor touts a solution .The few that haven’t, will soon Packet Optical Sales: Hotter than, um… .Optical gear, yes .Packet gear, check .Native packet over optical gear, nascent at best Slide 19 Conclusions –Critical Factors Going Forward Realization of IP Traffic Growth .Video will be key driver –Demand for flexibility at optical layer –Challenge SONET/SDH scalability Devil Will Be in the Details .OAM between packet and optical layers .Collaboration between ITU and IEEE, IETF on standards Slide 20 Thank You! Questions? Slide 21 Competitive Intelligence levels the playing field… Current Analysisis the onlycompetitive research firm that provides solutions to improve your company’s Competitive Response Competitive Response enables you to Win. 21335 Signal Hill Plaza, Suite 200 Sterling, VA 20164, United States Phone +1 703 404 9200 Toll free 877 787 8947 Fax +1 703 404 9300 www.currentanalysis.com </body>